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Neural network based empirical models play an important role in
virtually every aspect of the financial industry. The ability to learn
which consumer income and purchasing habit attributes are significant
when making decisions to grant credit has lowered the losses incurred by
credit card companies both in issuing cards initially as well as in
detecting fraudulent transactions after the card has been issued.
Similarly, the process of granting commercial loans or consumer
mortgages has become highly dependent on empirical models that forecast
the likelihood of repayment, again prior to issuing the loan, and then
predict the likelihood of payment repayment problems or insolvency
during the life of the loan.
In highly volatile securities markets, transactions in every type of
financial instrument produce huge volumes of trading data that form the
basis for neural network models to forecast everything from interest
rates to the movement of equity indices or individual stocks. The many
influences on institutional or individual investor behavior can never be
quantified in a closed form algorithm, yet empirical models derived from
the data consistently outperform human traders and portfolio managers.
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